EU referendum: Leave campaign closes gap to narrowest margin yet as latest poll shows Brexit vote will go down to the wire

This week’s ORB poll sends mixed signals about voters’ thinking on the EU referendum, the Telegraph reported. 

While topline figures suggest the Remain campaign has improved its vote share advantage over the Leave campaign among the population as a whole since last week, among those definite to vote the opposite is true – with the Leave campaign narrowing the gap among those certain to vote. 

The broad trend in public expectations shows that approximately three-fifths of the British public expect Britain to remain a member of the EU, while between a fifth and quarter expect Britain to leave. This hold true in the latest ORB poll where 59% of the electorate believe that Remain will win the day while 22% now think the same of Leave.

Whether this week’s change primarily is due to increased sample volatility in last week’s ORB poll because of the bank holiday weekend, or whether it represents a true change in the public’s attitudes, only time will tell. 

But it demonstrates that when considering polls it is always important to focus on the broad trends and what these show, rather than the latest ‘interesting’ change. 

Source : MENA