Socialist Hollande wins first round of French presidential race

Election officials empty boxes of election voting papers Socialist champion Francois Hollande stamped his authority on the French presidential race Sunday, winning the first round of polling and setting up a May 6 run-off with incumbent Nicolas Sarkozy. Hollande won between 28 and 30 per cent of the vote in the first round, to Sarkozy’s 24 to 27.5, according to estimates compiled from ballot samples by several polling agencies and obtained by AFP from multiple sources.
That made Sarkozy the only incumbent French president to lose a first round-vote in the history of the Fifth Republic, which came into being in 1958.
Official results were not to be made available until polls closed in major urban centres at 8:00pm (1800 GMT), but the tendency was clear and the mood at Sarkozy’s campaign headquarters was resigned and sombre.
“It’s a very good first round score. Dignity paid off,” said Socialist spokeswoman Aurelie Filippetti, welcoming Sunday’s result in the more upbeat venues of Hollande’s party headquarters.
Ten candidates were in the race — Hollande and Sarkozy being trailed by far-right flag-bearer Marine Le Pen, hard-left firebrand Jean-Luc Melenchon, veteran centrist Francois Bayrou and a handful of outsiders.
Le Pen came third with between 17 and 20 per cent, beating bitter enemy Melenchon, who scored between 10.5 and 13 per cent. Bayrou won between 8.7 and 10 per cent, according to the estimates seen by AFP.
Turnout was high at at least 80 percent: down on the 84 per cent turnout of 2007 but up significantly on the 72 per cent of 2002 and belying fears that a low-key campaign would be capped by mass abstention.
The left has not won a presidential election in a quarter of a century, but with France mired in low growth and rising joblessness, opinion polls had long predicted that the left would beat the right-wing incumbent.
Hollande says Sarkozy has trapped France in a downward spiral of austerity and job losses, while Sarkozy says his rival is inexperienced and weak-willed and would spark financial panic through reckless spending pledges.
The eurozone debt crisis and France’s sluggish growth and high unemployment have hung over the campaign, with Sarkozy struggling to defend his record and Hollande unable to credibly promise spending increases.
“I have never missed a vote, but this time I feel little enthusiasm for the election,” said 62-year-old retired high school teacher Isabelle Provost as she emerged into bright Paris sunshine after casting her ballot.
“Economically there is little difference between the two main candidates,”she said, echoing the sentiment of many others of the right and the left.
Hollande voted in his stronghold, the country town of Tulle in the central Correze region, where he is the local member of parliament and heads the regional council. He was warmly greeted by officials and voters alike.
“I am attentive, engaged, but first of all respectful,” he told reporters.
“The day ahead will be a long one, this is an important moment.”Sarkozy and his former supermodel wife Carla Bruni cast their ballots in Paris’ plush 16th district, a stronghold of his right-wing UMP party.
Hollande was to make a speech in Tulle minutes after polls close and official results estimates are announced on the prime-time 8:00 pm television news. Sarkozy was to speak in Paris at around 9:00 pm.
Opinion polls and campaigning were banned from midnight on Friday, and will resume on Monday in the build-up to the May 6 run-off, which Hollande is predicted to win by around 55 per cent to 45.
Sarkozy and Hollande face a two-week scramble for the line, including a head-to-head televised debate that could be the incumbent’s last chance to change his fortunes.
Privately however, Sarkozy’s top supporters had begun to admit that if Sarkozy failed to regain the momentum and slip ahead of Hollande on Sunday, he would have too much ground left to make up.
Unofficial results in figures for all candidates:
François Hollande (Socialist Party) 28%
Nicolas Sarkozy (Centre Right UMP party) 26%
Marine Le Pen (National Front) 20%
Jean Luc-Melanchon (Far-Left) 12%
François Bayrou (Centre) 9%
Eva Joly (Green) 2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (Right, Eurosceptic) 1.8%
Phillippe Poutou (Far Left) 1.2%
Nathalie Arthaud (Far Left 0.7%)
Jacques Cheminade (Independent) 0.2%
The results will be updated as the count continues, until definitive final figures are announced late tonight.